Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 15.606284 17.665209 19.968956 22.751856 26.041294 29.828797 34.553266
2025-09-21 12.223616 14.688449 17.666242 21.574212 26.636078 33.067359 42.015127
2025-09-28 10.446261 13.055265 16.372467 20.980353 27.347387 36.040156 49.180082
2025-10-05 10.338820 13.427165 17.557595 23.635172 32.616714 45.859783 67.804619
2025-10-12 9.694714 12.963617 17.508645 24.504913 35.416635 52.558721 83.278749
2025-10-19 8.731433 11.929912 16.507423 23.798240 35.651192 55.224384 92.596234
2025-10-26 8.313753 11.621833 16.504600 24.574396 38.307288 62.292399 111.563799
2025-11-02 7.695856 10.950308 15.870977 24.244476 39.026788 66.056952 125.104338
2025-11-09 7.140139 10.319791 15.231288 23.811342 39.472656 69.352218 138.537898
2025-11-16 6.686180 9.806559 14.724679 23.533699 40.139193 73.165844 154.234451
2025-11-23 6.213429 9.225459 14.053721 22.886518 40.001860 75.294128 166.525039
2025-11-30 5.880151 8.843188 13.678012 22.723157 40.774844 79.487142 185.473466
2025-12-07 5.406932 8.214263 12.860023 21.708573 39.793942 79.844471 194.884250
2025-12-14 4.963465 7.607741 12.038211 20.611565 38.511289 79.317009 201.809947
2025-12-21 4.648120 7.195526 11.523509 20.050074 38.289445 81.284557 217.216585
2025-12-28 4.813813 7.612931 12.513859 22.555291 45.223600 102.866190 308.620327
2026-01-04 4.722336 7.573470 12.665467 23.375060 48.452036 115.670705 377.637208
2026-01-11 4.446596 7.187814 12.138876 22.709023 47.987924 117.876714 405.064262
2026-01-18 4.363438 7.143427 12.256349 23.440532 51.131472 131.738812 494.421636
2026-01-25 4.164453 6.874407 11.918135 23.129634 51.538901 137.184125 547.776070
2026-02-01 3.969341 6.601387 11.552967 22.721374 51.628247 141.649065 600.007724
2026-02-08 3.803756 6.374410 11.263981 22.459617 52.082889 147.540053 666.160995
2026-02-15 3.613415 6.090736 10.842568 21.849282 51.473948 149.522798 710.621553